Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
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8
Ṁ566
2029
61%
chance

This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029:

  1. Donald Trump is diagnosed with and publicly disclosed to have any of the following:

    • A condition requiring hospitalization for more than 24 hours

    • A chronic disease requiring ongoing medical treatment

    • A condition that would significantly impact presidential duties as determined by medical professionals

  2. The condition must be verified by at least one of:

    • Official statement from Trump's medical team

    • Released medical records

    • Documentation of hospital admission

    • Multiple credible news sources with independent verification

This market will resolve NO if no such condition is revealed by January 20, 2029.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

Some of these seem very likely even in situations where he isn't close to death.

Like "24 hour hospitalization" can happen due to minor surgery and "chronic condition" includes tons of aging related things that aren't acutely firightening.