Will Google spin off or sell Android before ‘27 to focus on an OS run exclusively on their own devices?
Will Google spin off or sell Android before ‘27 to focus on an OS run exclusively on their own devices?
Mini
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Ṁ1352027
18%
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1D
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1M
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Alphabet recently announced a noteworthy reorganization impacting their devices and AI units.
Given this information, will Alphabet/Google undergo a meaningful divestiture of their Android OS before January 1st, 2027?
This will resolve to ‘Yes’ if they no longer own a majority interest in their mobile OS which is currently running on devices from manufacturers beyond Google’s own Pixel products. This will also resolve to ‘Yes’ even if Google retains the Android name for their own devices as long as the open source version is sold/spun off.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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