Will a major regional conflict (including a civil war, coup, internal conflict) escalate in Africa within the next year?
Plus
16
Ṁ373Aug 4
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are several simmering conflicts in Africa. This market will resolve to YES if a new country enters a pre-existing conflict or a new militia, internal faction, or terrorist organization enters and has a meaningful impact on a current conflict.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a coup in Africa during 2024?
14% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
17% chance
In the event of a third world war*, which (if any) sub-Saharan African countries will likely get involved in it?
Will a new war break out in South America this year?
21% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Africa in 2024?
12% chance
Will there be a Third Congo War by 2025?
7% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
35% chance
Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?
10% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance