Will anyone ever achieve Q>5 in a D-He3 reactor smaller than 1km^3?
Plus
22
Ṁ4974001
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mixtures with >100ppm tritium don't count. For ICF, the denominator has to be the total wall-plug power, not just the portion of it delivered to the fuel.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Helion achieve Q>1 deuterium-tritium fusion before 2025?
11% chance
Will Helion achieve breakeven deuterium-helium-3 fusion before 2026?
18% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-T?
75% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
28% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-He3?
15% chance
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
43% chance
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
74% chance
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
64% chance
Will there be subcritical accelerator-driven fission plants by 2050?
33% chance