MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
Mini
5
Ṁ85
2028
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if Intel is in volume production of a higher transistor density than TSMC at any time before 2028

#Semiconductors
#Chip Wars
#Computer hardware
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
30% chance
Will Intel spin-off its foundry business by 2026?
40% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
4% chance

Related questions

Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
30% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will Intel spin-off its foundry business by 2026?
40% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
4% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout