This is a linked free response market, you can submit the name of anyone and their name will split off from "Other". When people bet on your answer, you'll receive unique trader bonuses!
This market will resolve to the name of the next person who is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom With Distinction, an exceedingly rare honor. If for some reason multiple people are given the award with distinction at the same ceremony, this question will resolve equally to their names. This is, however, very unlikely.
President Trump never awarded this honor, and president Biden has yet to do so. President Obama gave the award to then-VP Joe Biden, and President Bush gave the award to Pope John Paul II. Bill Clinton gave the award to Colin Powell, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. George HW Bush gave it Ronald Reagan.
A full list of past recipients can be found here.
If you would like to predict the recipients of the award without distinciton, you can do so at the companion market: /Joshua/who-will-receive-the-presidential-m
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1.00@BTE Yes actually!
I think Jimmy getting the award with distinction is a pretty likely outcome, though that migh be the Manifold bubble of thinking about Jimmy so much ๐
@Joshua Biden is giving the eulogy at Carter's funeral. He talks about it sometimes. Can he give it posthumously?
@BTE Giving the award with distinction at his funeral could totally happen, that's a good prediction!