Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election by the National Election Commission.

Background

The next South Korean presidential election is scheduled for June 3, 2025, following the impeachment and removal of President Yoon Suk Yeol. The election will determine who will serve as the 14th President of South Korea.

Key candidates include:

• Lee Jae-myung: Former Democratic Party candidate in the 2022 election who lost narrowly to Yoon Suk Yeol. He maintains strong support, especially among voters in their 40s, with approximately 50% support in recent surveys.

• Hong Joon-pyo: A veteran politician from the People Power Party (PPP) and former presidential candidate who is expected to run again. He is a prominent figure in the conservative camp.

• Oh Se-hoon: Current mayor of Seoul and a member of the PPP. While influential due to his position, he faces challenges within his party due to low approval ratings among party members.

• Kim Moon-soo: A PPP politician known for his populist stance who has gained attention within the party but may struggle to appeal to moderate voters.

• Han Dong-hoon: A younger PPP politician who, while considered unlikely to run in this election, has been mentioned as a potential candidate.

• Lee Jun-seok: Former leader of the PPP who was removed from his position in 2022 following controversies.

• Ahn Cheol-soo: A physician, software entrepreneur, and politician who has run in previous elections, including the 2022 presidential race before withdrawing to support Yoon Suk Yeol.

The political landscape in South Korea remains dynamic, with both major parties facing internal challenges and public opinion continuing to evolve.