Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Will China establish a new military base in another country by 2027?

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2026?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will there be a U.S. air base on Diego Garcia in 2040?

Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?