Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?
Mini
4
Ṁ502027
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
After the election of the 21st Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP in 2027, will the consensus among Western China analysts be that Xi has chosen a successor?
Traditionally a successor would be chosen at the beginning of a General Secretary's second and final term, who would serve on the PSC. Xi did not make such an 'appointment' in 2017 or 2022.
I will assess the consensus after the National Congress of the Party in 2027. I will not bet in this market.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?
66% chance
Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
74% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
60% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2030?
67% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2029?
66% chance
Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life?
36% chance
Will Xi Jinping still be the leader of China by 2030?
64% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
44% chance