Will China control Taiwan in 2040? | Manifold

Will China control Taiwan in 2040?

Plus

21

Ṁ2242

2040

50%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question resolves to "YES" if for the whole duration of year 2040 mainland China controls majority of Taiwan territory.

#🇨🇳 China

#🇹🇼 Taiwan

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ15 NO

Think they'll control Taiwan before then, but lose it before 2040

Would love to bet on this but such long-term markets tie up capital for a long period :(

@TedSuzman loans system addresses this. Basically you get your mana back after a year

Related questions

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?

Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?

Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Related questions

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?

[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules