Which of the following scenarios do you think is most likely to unfold in Myanmar by the end of 2024?
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Ṁ207Dec 31
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11%
Balkanization - Fragmentation of Myanmar into smaller, semi-autonomous regions.
1.8%
Ceasefire - A negotiated ceasefire leading to peace talks.
1.7%
Junta Regains Control - The junta launches a successful counter-offensive, consolidating its power.
83%
Protracted Conflict - Ongoing conflict without resolution or significant change from the current state.
1.7%
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