Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain. Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible. However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.
Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:
By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.
This will resolve NO if:
By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are not commercially available for the general public to book, or they remain exclusive and not accessible through standard booking processes.
I think that this is a tough one. We are currently on track and advancing at an astounding rate, but regulatory changes and the inherent complexities of space travel could potentially hinder mainstream adoption by 2027.
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1.00Re: "similar to traditional airline flights" and "not accessible through standard booking processes"
Seems rather vague to me. Suppose there is web booking form but that there are extra processes unlike traditional airline flight booking to assess health & fitness and/or training required. You might be able to see the booking form website but is it going to be possible to see how involved any extra processes are? More importantly, even if such additional processes are clear as to extent, how do you determine whether such additional processes are similar or different?
Can you be more specific about the resolution criteria for YES? It's seems that suborbital space flights are commercially available (Virgin Galactic, Blue Origin), and orbital flights are also available: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fram2, https://www.spacex.com/v2/humanspaceflight/submit