Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the date when I can summon a fully autonomous robotaxi in Manhattan without a human safety driver present. The robotaxi must be generally available for public use, allowing me to request a ride through a publicly accessible platform or service, and the service must be available across at least half of Manhattan’s land area.

Clarifications:

• The options are not mutually exclusive, e.g. if a robotaxi becomes available on 3/1/2026, “By the end of 2026” will resolve YES and “By the end of 2027” will resolve YES.