Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Plus
5
Ṁ6302025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
68%
Google
64%
Antropic
54%
Meta
50%
Mistral
50%
Other
32%
DeepSeek
22%
xAI
22%
NexusFlow
18%
Alibaba
For any company to resolve YES, they must achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI’s best model on the leaderboards https://lmarena.ai/.
see https://manifold.markets/Soli/which-companies-will-achieve-a-high?play=true for 2024
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?
What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of December 2024?
Highest Chatbot Arena Elo rating of an open-source model during 2024
Will OpenAI launch a significantly better model for ChatGPT paying users in 2024? (>= 100 points diff on ChatBot Arena)
21% chance
Which companies will rank in top 10 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
Chatbot Arena - top 3 labs EOY 2024