Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Plus
12
Ṁ3697Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
Antropic
25%
DeepSeek
20%
Meta
16%
Other
10%
Alibaba
7%
Mistral
7%
NexusFlow
Resolved
YESGoogle
Resolved
YESxAI
For any company to resolve YES, they must achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI’s best model on the leaderboards https://lmarena.ai/.
see https://manifold.markets/Soli/which-companies-will-achieve-a-high?play=true for 2024
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Google
@LCBOB resolves YES, xAI too https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/who-will-ever-rank-1-in-lmsys-chatb
Related questions
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
32% chance
Which company has best AI model end of August? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
25% chance
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which company has best AI model end of September? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?