Will the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed by the end of 2025?
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26
Ṁ1076
2025
5%
chance

This prediction market focuses on whether the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, will be officially revealed by December 31, 2025. The identity of Nakamoto has remained a mystery since the publication of the original Bitcoin whitepaper in 2008, and while many have speculated, no definitive proof has surfaced. This market allows participants to speculate on whether credible evidence confirming Nakamoto's identity will emerge publicly by the specified date.

The market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, credible and widely accepted evidence emerges publicly that definitively identifies the real individual or group behind the pseudonym "Satoshi Nakamoto." The identity must be confirmed through one or more of the following:

  • Self-Verification: The individual or group behind the pseudonym publicly verifies their identity through control of early Bitcoin-related assets or cryptographic keys associated with Satoshi Nakamoto.

  • Authoritative Confirmation: Trusted sources such as media outlets, academic institutions, or government agencies provide verified and widely accepted proof that uncovers the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto.

  • Legal Disclosure: A court or official legal process definitively identifies the creator(s) of Bitcoin.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such credible or verified proof of identity is made public by the deadline (December 31, 2025). Mere speculation, claims without proof, or unresolved investigations will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

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