Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years? | Manifold

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?

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24

Ṁ3087

2033

14%

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1M

ALL

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E. g. 2028->2029 +12% or 2031->2032 -16%

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2020->2022 was +13% and 2009->2010 was +9.6% so definitely seems possible again within the next decade

< 1% odds

@MaybeNotDepends Extreme example of how longshots are overpriced on this website (and most others).

@MaybeNotDepends I dont see your no bet ;)

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