Will there be male birth control equal or better than the IUD by end of 2028? | Manifold

Will there be male birth control equal or better than the IUD by end of 2028?

Mini

3

Ṁ100

2029

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Per my subjective judgment, including factors such as FDA approval, cost, side effects, and availability.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

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I assume your subjective judgment includes reversibility? Arguably a vasectomy is already equal to or better than an IUD on most dimensions, with that rather important exception

I believe condoms don’t count, right?

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Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?

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Will I start HRT by 2026?

Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?

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Will an oral insulin pill be publicly available before the end of 2025?

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Will estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?

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