Related Markets
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in March than February?YES
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in April than March?NO
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in May than April?YES
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in June than May?NO
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in July than June?YES
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in August than July?48%
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in September than August?50%
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in October than September?50%
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in November than October?50%
Will Oregon sell more marijuana in December than November?63%
Market Resolution
This is a prediction market. Market will close 31 July and will resolve in August when reports are released.
Market will resolve YES if Oregon marijuana total sales for July are higher than June sales.
Market will resolve NO if Oregon marijuana total sales for July are less than or equal to June sales.
Data Source: Oregon Liquor & Cannabis Commission Monthly Reports
Disclaimer
I do not bet in markets I create. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.
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1.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 1 | Ṁ16 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 |
Have you considered using the "Multiple Choice -> Any number of answers" type for these markets? It's a better bettor experience IMO.
@kenakofer - I considered it, but decided against it for a couple of reasons:
Market title was too confusing. Essentially, the question would be "which months will sell more weed in Oregon than the month prior?" which felt clunky and uninteresting.
Harder to run the prediction side of things. I'd have to change the market closing date each month if I wanted to preserve the prediction aspect. As binaries, I just set the closing date and forget about it until I have to resolve. (Would be cool if MC markets allowed me to set a closing date for each option)
Other traders have mentioned that binary markets (like this one) get more traction than if bundled in a MC market. Bundling them would be cheaper, but separating them into binaries seems to get more audience participation.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00