Will evidence emerge that Anthropic's pursuit of regulatory capture is aided by U.S. Adversaries by 2027 year end? | Manifold

Will evidence emerge that Anthropic's pursuit of regulatory capture is aided by U.S. Adversaries by 2027 year end?

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Gavin Baker said on a video that he thinks that the efforts of AI labs to do regulatory capture and stop open source models (among other stuff) might be aided by U.S. adversaries.

This market resolves if some reputable news outlet reports that Anthropic has dealings with U.S. adversaries to sabotage U.S. AI capabilities. Doesn't need to ultimately be proven true.

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If you and/or relevant experts come to believe that Anthropic aren't pursuing regulatory capture at all, does market resolve NO or NA?

@Fion Would be resolved to NO. But I think it's incontroversal that they are seeking regulatory capture.

@MP can you explain what you mean by regulatory capture

@TiredCliche regulating ai to create some sort of oligopoly and keep competition away

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Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

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Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?

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