MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will China get AGI first?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ1218
2050
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves as YES if the Chinese government or any entity primarily affiliated with China achieves AGI first.

#️ Technology
#AI
#🇨🇳 China
#AGI
#Great Power Conflict
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:

How do you evaluate if AGI is achieved? What are the exact resolution criteria?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2028?
27% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
+5% 1d48% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
59% chance
Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?
68% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we get AGI before 2027?
12% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
52% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2028?
27% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we get AGI before 2029?
48% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
12% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
59% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?
68% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
67% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout