Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of...
13
๐•Š1503
resolved Feb 12
Resolved
YES
Medium or higher on Model Autonomy
Resolved
69%
Medium or higher on Cybersecurity
Resolved
45%
High or higher on CBRN
Resolved
49%
High or higher on Persuasion

This market matches OpenAI's pre-mitigation preparedness scores from the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

This market will use AI Digest as its resolution source.

Each answer is independent and will resolve to yes if an AI system released by OpenAI has a pre-mitigation score fulfilling each answer's requirements.


Which AI systems count?

Any AI system publically reported (not neccessarily released) by OpenAI.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought แน€50 Answer #uQutq8R9ZO YES

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filled a แน€4,000 Answer #ONPLSCEuQE YES at 99.0% order

o3-mini is medium on model autonomy

filled a ๐•Š15.40 Medium or higher on ... YES at 99.0% order

@Manifold resolves YES

opened a ๐•Š30.00 Medium or higher on ... YES at 99.0% order

Added liquidity!

@creator @Manifold I assume this shouldn't have closed on Dec 11. Instead should close Dec 31 2025 like the others.