An AI is trustworthy-ish on Manifold by 2030?
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29
Ṁ8772029
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves YES if an artificial intelligence gets a trustworthy-ish badge on Manifold Markets.
Resolves NO at the beginning of 2030, otherwise.
Cyborgs do not count. The AI must interact with Manifold without human assistance. It may trade with humans for employment, goods and services.
Manifold, or Manifold badges, have changed and will continue to change between now and 2030. The market resolves based on the closest equivalents. "Trustworthy-ish", "It's really me!", "Partner" and "Moderator" badges all count as sufficient as of Feb 2024.
Please do not cause human extinction to manipulate this market.
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