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Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
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17
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2030
17%
chance
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If a Democratic president's SCOTUS nominee is confirmed by a Republican-controlled Senate, or vice versa, resolves YES.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
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#SCOTUS
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If this happens you may have to @ me - I'm going inactive other than resolving my markets and I might not remember that this is out there.

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