Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Premium

270

Ṁ71k

2029

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Question resolves based on him being officially impeached by the House (as he was twice during his first term); conviction by the Senate does not affect this question one way or the other.

Resolves N/A in the (now quite unlikely) event that he does not win.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#️ US Democracy

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ150 YES

Imo this should trade higher given the higher implied probability of Democrat House control after 2026 due to recent elections

A similar market is here:

bought Ṁ100 NO

No: this would be a completely stupid and counterproductive thing to do (and of course assumes the dems retake the house in 2026).

Yes: the dems never learn from their mistakes.

@traders just upgraded to Premium!

opened a Ṁ990 YES at 33% order

@MattP getting a decent amount of action - I think the trader pool will probably be a decent enough source of liquidity at this point. Pulling down to M5000 subsidy (halfway between Plus and Premium).

/mattyb/will-the-house-of-representatives-b

Related questions

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached and removed by the end of 2025?

Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2025?

Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?

Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

Related questions

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2025?

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached and removed by the end of 2025?

Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?

Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules