Will there be at least one 8 magnitude (or above) earthquake before 2025 within 200 km of Lima (Peru)?
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Jan 1
5%
chance

Using the epicenter as the location of the earthquake.

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Predicting the occurrence of an 8.0 magnitude earthquake within 200 km of Lima, Peru, by 2025 is challenging. Earthquakes are influenced by complex geological factors, and while Peru is in a seismically active region due to the subduction of the Nazca plate beneath the South American plate, exact timing and location predictions aren't possible. Instead, focus on staying informed about earthquake preparedness and accessing reliable earthquake safety information to protect yourself and your family in high-risk areas.

According to historical data, the last earthquakes of large magnitudes (7+) near Lima occurred in 1940, 1974 and 2007. We could say that a notable earthquake is expected every 33 years, so it is unlikely that the next one will occur before 2025 since only 18 years would have passed (a little more than half the average time).