By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
Mini
23
Ṁ26092035
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
<=2025
9%
2026
18%
2027
14%
2028
12%
2029
9%
2030
7%
2031
5%
2032
4%
2033
3%
2034
17%
>=2035
Same criteria as the Scott Alexander market. "Make a movie sequel to Firefly"
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Also, the mentioned Scott Alexander market is https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener, right?
bought Ṁ4 <=2025 YES
e.g. "By 2026" means from January 1st 2026 to December 31st 2026, right?
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