If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar? | Manifold

If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?

Mini

9

Ṁ438

2200

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves N/A if Isaac is unable to resolve his market by 2200, or if the market is resolved fraudulently or before the advent of AGI.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

predicts NO

Note that "none of the above" isn't an option on the market, and the description states that I'll just pick the closest one, so I'm confused why anyone would bet YES here.

Also you should probably include a link to the market.

predicts NO

What if his designated survivor resolves the market as described on his profile?

predicts NO

@MartinRandall that works.

Related questions

If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?

Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?

Will any of these 7 markets about game-playing AI resolve YES in 2025?

Which AI future will we get?

Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?

If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?

Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will Manifold Markets be operational?

Related questions

If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?

Which AI future will we get?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?

If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?

If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?

Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?

Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?

Will any of these 7 markets about game-playing AI resolve YES in 2025?

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will Manifold Markets be operational?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules