Will more than ten "national level" politicians in any single western country be killed within twelve months of each other before 2030?
โž•
Plus
13
แน€432
2030
15%
chance

National-level politicians meaning:

  • Reigning Monarchs

  • Heads of state

  • Cabinent Secretaries/Ministers

  • National legislators

  • Supreme court justices or equivalent

  • Attorneys General or equivalent

List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:

  1. Australia

  2. Austria

  3. Belgium

  4. Canada

  5. Czech Republic

  6. Denmark

  7. Estonia

  8. France

  9. Greece

  10. Germany

  11. Iceland

  12. Italy

  13. Latvia

  14. Luxembourg

  15. Netherlands

  16. New Zealand

  17. Norway

  18. Spain

  19. Sweden

  20. Switzerland

  21. United Kingdom

  22. United States

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A single act that kills 10 would also count, correct?

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