Will we finally pull ourselves together and avoid being wiped out by AI?
12
Ṁ373
2026
24%
chance

Primary criteria: some kind of moratorium/pause on AI development through international cooperation. Any other effective method also accepted

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bought Ṁ50 NO

We wont be wiped out by AI. Pausing worldwide AI development is as impossible as pausing worldwide coding. Any sort of pause has to be significant to resolve as Yes, not just one big company pausing or an agreement to pause in theroy.

@AlanTennant "Any other effective method also accepted" not pausing and getting alignment right would resolve YES

This market doesn’t make any sense

title is very misleading vs. content, content is very ambiguous, especially 'Any other effective method also accepted'

@BogdanIonutCirstea how would you put it?

bought Ṁ5 YES

Can this market ever resolve NO? If you are alive then humanity hasn't been wiped out

@brubsby criteria mentioned in description

@Mjd how does this resolve if no such measures are taken yet we aren't wiped out?

What is the criteria for this?

@EliH added