Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?
Plus
13
Ṁ3152025
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Help me improve the resolution criteria! The aim is to predict whether this will be "normal"
Suggested:
A majority of funding rounds in 2025 over $100k will have some public/forecasting.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
23% chance
What games will we attempt to play using prediction markets in 2024? [Prizes for good answers!]
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
35% chance
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
25% chance
Which forecasting projects/organizations will be recommended a grant from Open Philanthropy in 2024?
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
63% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
49% chance
Will prediction markets be used to allocate UKRI funding before 2040?
33% chance