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The main interface with LLMs for end users will be text in Jan 2028
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Ṁ230
2028
74%
chance
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arbable with https://manifold.markets/CampbellHutcheson/will-prompting-be-the-dominant-meth

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Related questions

🧠 Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025?
In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?
27% chance
What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?
By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?
11% chance
What LLM API will work unmodified until the end of 2025?
2025: Most common way to write documents in Latex is to give a natural language description to a tool based on LLMs?
29% chance
Will flagship LLMs begin integrating advertisements into their responses before 2026?
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Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
86% chance
Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users by end-2025?
36% chance
Will prompting of generalist models be the dominant method of interaction with LLMs on 1 January 2028?
43% chance
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