Will more than 100,000 people live in Prospera by 2035?
Will more than 100,000 people live in Prospera by 2035?
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predicts NO 1y
There is, unexpectedly to me as of when I made my bets though, construction ongoing in june! :)
See these beautiful photos:
https://goo.gl/maps/UbbUHVBWDNgYA22s9
Things are not currently looking good for Prospera - even their PR team says "Próspera is currently dealing with headwinds in Honduras. Radical elements of the current administration have time and time again sought to discredit and undermine Próspera’s efforts in Honduras — and in so doing have caused significant damages along the way.":
https://prosperaglobal.medium.com/the-state-of-affairs-in-honduras-28607080b5f4
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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