Automatic Manifold arbitrage
Ṁ1,100 / 1100
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There are a lot of markets I want to be able to automatically arbitrage, but I don't know how. There are some bots that do this, but none (to my knowledge) are open-source.

This could be a feature on the Manifold website or an external open-source script.

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I might write this if the bounty was an order of magnitude or two higher

If there was a bot that would automatically bet on all arbitrage in the market, it should be implemented by the site itself and thus eliminate all arbitrage.

I am working on perfect arbitrage for any number of identical binary markets, accounting for fees, limit orders, liquidities, not accounting for latency.

I have implemented most of the important binary/cpmm betting functions into python, and have a functional but over-abstracted framework that can make automatic arbitrage happen. I currently estimate 5 more dev hours to make it working.

I don't feel happy open-sourcing it for M1000 though, would be happy to if it is M25k