Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?
Plus
32
Ṁ19412029
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will stay open until it resolves. Resolves YES if a referendum passes, NO if it fails, N/A if a referendum becomes irrelevant.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
58% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
22% chance
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
32% chance
Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
21% chance
Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?
9% chance
In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
29% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2025 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
2% chance
Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?
27% chance