MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Iranian government action cause the deaths of at least 10 Americans within the borders of the US in 2025?
21
Ṁ715
Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This will resolve YES iff, by December 31, 2025, credible news sources report that either terrorist or "official" state actions funded and/or directed by the Iranian government have killed at least 10 Americans within the US.

#️ Wars
#🇮🇱 Israel
#Middle East
#Iran
#Israel-Iran Conflict
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
-4% 1d9% chance
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
-3% 1d9% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
94% chance
Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?
8% chance
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
6% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Iranian strike on U.S. soil in 2025?
19% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
9% chance

Related questions

Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
9% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
9% chance
Iranian strike on U.S. soil in 2025?
19% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
94% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?
8% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
8% chance
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
6% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
9% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout