If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 | Manifold

If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028

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Conditional market. If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A

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Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that for this market, the distinction between a 'military intervention' by Kenya and 'sending policemen' is not meaningful. The current Kenyan intervention (e.g., related to sending policemen) will count as a 'military intervention'.

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AFAIK there was never any talk of a military intervention by Kenya; the country is still making up its mind about sending policemen to Haiti. Do you think the distinction is meaningful?

@BrunoParga distinction is not meaningful to me. Current Kenyan intervention counts. The market is on!

@NivlacM I hope you and it don't live in the same country...

@BrunoParga and I hope neither of our countries require foreign intervention to restore order

@NivlacM if mine does, I hope it's just policemen and not military.

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