50% chance. (This market is identical to the 2024 version, except with a longer resolution date.) Current state-of-the-art AI image generators like Midjourney (i.e. diffusion models, previously GANs and other types of models) create art in a distinctly nonhuman-like way, essentially by manipulating random noise into gradually looking more and more like the target image based on a given prompt. I'm curious on whether it will soon become technically feasible (if not necessarily practical) for an AI to create a similar wide variety of images via prompts through methods that look a lot closer to what a human artist might do, albeit presumably a lot faster. This question resolves YES if, by resolution time, I can get access to an AI that can: Control a virtual mouse and/or keyboard on either my machine or some other (virtual?) machine I can access. Use said control to open image editing software like Photoshop, GIMP, or Paint.NET. Any single one would do. Draw at least a basic picture of an arbitrary prompt in said software in a way that's recognizable. To be clear, it does not have to be anywhere near state-of-the-art. It just has to be capable of drawing any reasonable prompt in a way that someone who hasn't seen the prompt could more or less recognize. It can even be a simple black and white sketch, so long as it's a decent one. I'd try around 5-10 prompts of no more than a sentence each, something like "a bustling city street under the shine of a full moon". If the AI gets at least half of the prompts correct and recognizable (according to my subjective opinion), that counts for the purposes of this market. Additional details: I'm willing to pay a reasonable fee to access the AI that would resolve this market, if needed. The AI should spend no more than 30 real-time minutes on creating each image. If it goes over, I'll try and cut it off early. Due to subjective judgment being required, I will not trade on this market.