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A full world government will develop before human-level AGI
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Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2030?
32% chance
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
24% chance
Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI
70% chance
Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
78% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?
Will we get AGI before WW3?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
62% chance
Will a misaligned AGI take over the world?
11% chance
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