A full world government will develop before human-level AGI
Mini
5
Ṁ2032999
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Copied over from Elicit
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
83% chance
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
24% chance
Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
78% chance
Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?
Will we get AGI before WW3?
74% chance
Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
58% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
40% chance