MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ271
2999
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Copied over from Elicit

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
78% chance
Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
62% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
7% chance
A full world government will develop before human-level AGI
4% chance
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
In what year will human-level AI first exist?
2038

Related questions

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
78% chance
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
A full world government will develop before human-level AGI
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
62% chance
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
In what year will human-level AI first exist?
2038
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout