Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?
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Aug 31
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Reform MP Rupert Lowe has been reported to the police by Reform UK following incidents of bullying.

This is no doubt nothing to do with the fact that he has been publicly questioning the leadership of Nigel Farage.

Given this is all a bit contentious, does he retain the Reform whip, such as it is?

Resolves YES if this page lists Lowe as a Reform UK MP at 00:01 on 1st September 2025. Resolves NO if he is listed either as an independent MP, an MP for any other party, or if he has stood down from Parliament.

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opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 5% order

The independent investigation has found "credible evidence of unlawful harassment of two women", so whether you think this was all a Farage barrage or genuinely an issue, the party can't now re-admit him without making itself fine with the findings. Unless anyone wants to bet on some other route for Lowe to return to the party?

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 20% order

Barely made the market and the update is that he’s lost the whip, so I guess this is now a market on whether he gets it back!