Will AI replace judges and jurors in trials?
Will AI replace judges and jurors in trials?
Mini
9
Ṁ4482031
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A partially AI jury would still qualify for this
Any trial that normally would require human Judges or Jurors qualifies. Must be real trials with real legal consequences, trial runs or simulations do not count.
Resolves NO at market close if the condition has not triggered by then.
I'm not a legal expert, so I'm happy to take advice about resolution criteria if you have any. The idea I want to explore is that using AI rather than humans could make trials faster and possibly fairer.
see also:
Will AI replace judges in trials?45%
Will AI replace jurors in trials?13%
Will AI replace judges and jurors in trials?19% (this market)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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