AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: /ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

I would like to explore whether AGI will have any significant effect on longevity research and if no, then why.

Here are some definitions of things mentioned in the options:

• AGI — and AI system, capable of autonomously doing any tasks involved in scientific research (since this question is about research)

• Significant advances in longevity — increasing the life-expectancy at birth by at least 2x, to at least 160 years.

• Whether AGI is used in longevity research — yes if some notable papers in the field are fully written by AI or some procedures are fully developed by AI. Domain specific AIs used for e.g. protein folding are not enough.

• Human-like level of capabilities — the most complex high-level intellectual tasks done by AI can also be done by humans in no more than 10x amount of time it takes AI to do it.

• Unfriendly/unaligned AGI — the actions of out-of-control AI lead to at least the state of national emergency in at least one country and result in significant slowdown in AI development either due to the regulations introduced as a result, or due to all or many AI researchers being dead.

The options in the question are not mutually exclusive.

I do not bet on my own questions.