Will Germany have a one-party or two-party government before 2030?
➕
Plus
29
Ṁ4646
2029
90%
chance

Resolves yes if Germany has a government consisting only of members of one or two parties at any point before 2030.

CDU and CSU count as one party; ministers without a party affiliation are ignored.

As far as I know, this has been the case for every German government from 1957 to 2021.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

To understand your question: you're asking if German national politics will follow the status quo?

@GazDownright I think it's the opposite - the current government doesn't qualify.

@PS The description states "this has been the case since forever." When you write "this," what is "this" referring to?

@GazDownright Not sure if we are looking at the same description?

As far as I know, this has been the case for every German government from 1957 to 2021.

Since 2021, this has not been the case