Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Plus
26
Ṁ9862026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
47%
Clarence Thomas
3%
John Roberts
11%
Samuel Alito
32%
Sonia Sotomayor
3%
Elena Kagan
1.1%
Niel Gorsuch
1.1%
Brett Kavanaugh
1%
Amy Coney Barrett
0.9%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
The justices are listed here in order of seniority. I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@AndrewG It will resolve based on the first of the listed justices to leave the bench. That's why I worded the description as, "Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court," to exclude any new justices who are added.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
1% chance
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
91% chance
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
66% chance
Which US Supreme Court justices will recuse themselves from a case during 2024?
Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?