Will Retro Biosciences succeed in increasing healthy human lifespan by ten years? | Manifold

Will Retro Biosciences succeed in increasing healthy human lifespan by ten years?

Plus

15

Ṁ226

2040

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Announcement here: https://retro.bio/announcement/

Will resolve yes if the mission is considered accomplished at the begining of 2040.

#️ Technology

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

A problem with this market is that if a different organization contributes to this as well, it's hard to figure out the causality of whether or not Retro should be given credit.

Sam Altman has invested a significant fraction of his wealth in this company

The website has a lot of fancy words and little science/data to show for it. Just saying “cell reprogramming” tells me nothing about the feasibility of their ideas.

predicts NO

@drcat https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2023-12-19/longevity-startup-retro-biosciences-is-sam-altman-s-shot-at-life-extension This tells me More, i trust their methods better now but I’m not still sure they will succeed

Related questions

Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months?

Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?

Will any molecule be shown to extend longevity in the ITP program in 2024?

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

Related questions

Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?

Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Will any molecule be shown to extend longevity in the ITP program in 2024?

Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months?

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules