Will SCOTUS find that TN Bill 1 prohibiting gender-affirming medical care is unconstitutional? [U.S. v. Skrmetti]
Mini
5
Ṁ9112025
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if SCOTUS finds that Tennessee Senate Bill 1, which prohibits all medical treatments intended to allow “a minor to identify with, or live as, a purported identity inconsistent with the minor’s sex” or to treat “purported discomfort or distress from a discordance between the minor’s sex and asserted identity,” violates the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment. Otherwise resolves "No."
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the result of U.S. v. Skrmetti (ban on gender affirming care for trans youth)?
Will the Supreme Court find that Tennessee's SB1 (ban on transgender health care for minors) is constitutional?
86% chance
Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]
10% chance
Will Ohio be temporally enjoined from enforcing their gender-affirming care ban for minors?
48% chance
Will SB49 (Restricts gender-affirming care for minors among other things) be in effect in Missouri in 2025?
69% chance
Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?
66% chance
Will SCOTUS hear the Florida trans kids case after federal judge strikes down 2023 Florida law?
16% chance
Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
70% chance
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
77% chance
Will the United States Supreme Court receive a challenge to gender identity as a protected class before 2026?
78% chance