Will we get AGI before 2024?
Mini
27
Ṁ9410
resolved Feb 4
Resolved
NO

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2024

Markets with the same criteria:

/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023 (this question)

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048

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@SteelSphinx Voice of reason 😄

I'm inclined to resolve this market as NO, but think it's best to wait a bit until more data is collated. It's possible that someone made AGI in their basement on New Year's eve and we haven't heard about it yet.