How many people will attend Metagame 2025 (Sept 12-14)?
How many people will attend Metagame 2025 (Sept 12-14)?
Plus
5
Ṁ11302026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
0-100
8%
101-200
19%
201-300
23%
301-400
21%
401-500
15%
501-600
5%
601-700
3%
701+
Resolves based on the total number of attendees* at Metagame, a weekend conference about game design, strategy, narrative, and play happening September 12-14, 2025. It's run by the Quant Trading Bootcamp franchise and will take place at Lighthaven in Berkeley, CA.
If the conference is cancelled or moved to a date after 2025, this market will settle 0 (if it's moved to another weekend in 2025 it will resolve normally). If we move venues I think we'll still resolve it normally.
*Including volunteers, guests of honor, etc — anybody with a conference badge/lanyard or whatever analogous system we use to check people in.
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1,0001.00What is this?
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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