MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will there be any lockdowns covering > 30% of the US before 2035? (they can be bio or AI or terrorism related)
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ849
2036
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
3 Comments
Sort by:

@stochasticcockatoo

How big of an area does a lockdown need to cover? I find many stories by just going to a search engine and putting in terms including "lockdown".

Here's one about a school that had a lockdown.

@Eliza > 30% of US

Like countywide lockdowns or can it be smaller units?

Related questions

Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
31% chance
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
27% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
18% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
37% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
42% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
69% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
5% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
31% chance
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
30% chance
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
45% chance

Related questions

Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
31% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
69% chance
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
27% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
5% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
18% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
31% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
37% chance
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
30% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
42% chance
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
45% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout