Will Amit be late to pay back a loan, and if not, did I bail him out?
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15%
Amit is late to pay back a loan
29%
Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I bailed him out
56%
Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I never bailed him out
Resolves "Amit is late to pay back a loan" if this market resolves YES.
If the linked market resolves NO:
Resolves "Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I bailed him out" if at any point, I sent mana to Amit that I did not expect to be repaid, sent mana to any of Amit's creditors that I did not expect to be repaid, or forgave (even partially) one of my loans to Amit because I believed he would otherwise imminently default.
Otherwise, resolves "Amit is not late to pay back a loan, and I never bailed him out".
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